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Wednesday, November 25, 2009

作為階級計劃的政改方案

蕭裕均

 

看了近日的港聞得知五區總辭導致泛民分裂繼而前民主黨主席李柱銘今天高呼要「勒住」總辭。一時間彷彿香港的政治文化又回到「大佬文化」--誰都要聽聽民主之父的縱然其法是如何前後矛盾!)

接著又看到李祖喬在其xanga的文章(http://lichokiu.wordpress.com/)論及社會科學圈「政政人 VS 文化研究人」與「第二代香港人 VS 第四代香港人」對不同政治策略「議會 VS 議會外」及「妥協 VS 激進」的取態。我個人很認同李祖喬的分析現時香港的政治文化不單有世代衝突就連社會科學圈亦有分裂。突然間令我想到的是羅永生所的「勾結式殖民主義」。

然而縱然我們現在談的無論是20122017抑或是2020 的方案和策略彷彿大家都持著十分長遠的眼光來審時度世。但其實各家所談的歸根究底都只是政治體制的安排。這種只顧政治體制的論爭以及其觀點。恕我直言其實是十分短視和膚淺的。有見及此我想在這篇短文中提出初歩的長遠分析以及把「階級」的角度重新帶回香港政治鬥爭的討論中望能疏理出一套較有深度的政治分析。

首先,我得承認,我所使用的分析框架,是馬克思在資本論中的階級關係框架。對很多人來說,只是聽到馬克思這個名詞,就已經沒有興趣去了解,並稱之落後而將其揚棄。然而,對我來說,不同的理論和概念就像不同的視窗,帶你看到和分析不同的東西。而透過馬克思的框架,我看到的是:政改方案其實是一個階級計劃(class project)

 

一. 「利潤─工資-地租」的階級關係公式

 

在馬克思的資本論第三冊XLVIII中,馬克思提出了所謂的「三位一體」的階級關係公式(The Trinity Formula)。馬克思提出,階級關係以三位一體的形式出現,而這種三位一體的形式又以「利潤─工資-地租」(profit-wage-rent) 的姿態來反映「資本-工人-土地」(capital-labour-land) 的關係。從這種階級關係的形態,我們可以針對「利潤」[尤其是所謂的「利息」(interest)]、「工資」和「地租」來分析現時香港的階級情況。這種分析的路徑,令我們能將十分抽象又不精細的「利潤(Revenue)」的概念加以分類,從中找出資本主義體系的資本累積渠道(mechanism)

 

首先,我們得認清一個事實。無論你怎樣我們的政府都是一個為資本家服務的政府「利益輸送」和「官商勾結」的事實是人所共知的。然而,這些口號始終不能令人們了解到當中的「輸送渠道」和「勾結方式」。然則,「利益輸送」和「官商勾結」的事實在近幾年顯得尤其突出。而暴露這個事實的又有賴近年來香港社運圈所涉足的議題,在在都令大家看清所謂「利益輸送」和「官商勾結」的渠道。

 

二。 利潤/資本

 

在利潤/利息累積方面,當中涉及資本主義中金融資本(financial capital)和銀行的角色。簡單地說,金融資本能在資本主義出現危機時,或在巿場出現波動時,幫助資本家紓解一時間資本不足的困境。故此,要維持一個穩定和靈活的金融體制對資本家來說是十分重要的。而要維持這種穩定而靈活的金融體制,又需要一個敢為資本家效勞的政府。在這方面,香港的金融體制又確實如此。

 

先說聯繫匯率,自聯繫匯率確立以來,其最重要目的莫過於令資本家避免因港幣與美金之間的匯率波動蒙受損失。然而,香港資本家在聯繫匯率上的得益是建基於勞動階級的痛苦身上的。由於聯繫匯率的確立,在通脹嚴重或持續增長的情況下,香港政府便不能像其他匯率自由浮動的國家一樣,利用息口來壓抑通脹。而當通脹高企的情況下,工人(在沒有最低工資的政策下)便需個人地與僱主進行討價還價,以求實質工資能趕上通脹的水平。

 

接著,說說政府維持金融體制方面的工夫,最好的個案依然是九七年的亞洲金融風暴。港府當時的千億救巿,對抗大鱷,當中一個很大的因素是為了維持聯繫匯率。但政府此舉和往後三年的通縮和失業率颩升,亦令我們看出另一個事實:當資本主義危機出現時,為資本家服務的政府,在面對取捨金融體制的穩健和社會大多數的勞動階級的福祉之間,政府總是會選擇前者的。

 

三.工資/勞工

 

在工資/勞工方面,在馬克思的分析上佔有主導地位。馬克思認為資本累積的最基本單位來自勞動力,而有效地控制和獲得勞動力又是資本累積的條件。在資本論第一冊的第十章中,馬克思利用大量歷史資料,引証在勞工法上工時的規管往往是資產階級和工人階級的鬥爭焦點。當中馬克思又在舖陳這鬥爭過程中,資產階級政府如何透過在勞工法上的修修補補,名義上提出「改良主義(reformism)」的階級妥協安排。實際是在短期上消弭工人階級的抗爭意識,長期上對工人階級進行「社會化」(socialization),使工人階級適應所謂合理的「工時」、「工資」和「工作生活」(work life)的安排。

 

說香港政府一直以來都是打壓勞工階級絕對不是過份和誇張。香港現時在勞工法例上的立法,容我斗膽說,在工時限制上比起十九世紀中業的英國還要差。英國在1833年開始引入工廠法(Factory Act),規管童工不得每天工作超過十二小時。接著在1850年正式實施每天十小時的最高工時限制。至於最低工資上,香港的勞工法又比我們的祖國差,中國自1993年以來引進新勞動法,當中包括最低工資和最高工時(每天正常工時8小時,每星期40小時,每月超時工作不得超過36小時),訂明地方政府可以因應該巿的經濟情況而調整最低工資。雖然我們知道在吸引外資的前題下,這些法規在中國大陸都很難實行。然而,相較香港政府來說,既無最高工時的限制,更在最低工資的政策上一拖再拖,最後還在訂立合理最低工資的水平上採取資本家的方案。然而,當我們對照19世紀英國的情況,我們便會發現,香港的工人階級由於在殖民地年代便一直被殖民地政府進行社會化,並將這種剝削的工作模式美化為經濟增長的動力。再加上這些資產階級政府的階級策略又得到不少學術圈內的論述推波助瀾(最明顯的莫過於「階級分析乃明日黃花」之說),使得香港的工人階級意識一直長期被壓抑。而在學術圈內揚棄階級分析的結果又令階級研究在香港處於十分落後的情況,不能追上進入後工業社會的政治經濟佈局。

 

四.土地/地租

 

至於在土地/地租方面,長久以來香港都是以高地價政策來維持香港政府的非經常性收入,從以維持低稅率和其他對資產階及優惠政策。而令人驚訝的是,當我們閱讀馬克思的資本論第一冊的最後三頁時,這種高地價政策,其實便是馬克思所謂的「原始累積的秘密」。馬克思指出,在十九世紀,英國政府在殖民美國時,由於當時的美國原住民仍能自給自足,不需出賣勞動力來為資本家服務,使英國政府在該地的資本累積計劃處處碰釘。最後,英國政府想出一條出「絕世好橋」:就是利用殖民政府獨有的「皇家土地擁有權」來將原住民的土地收歸政府所有,並將之高價拍賣。這政策不單令自給自足的原住民不能再擁有自己的土地來維持生計,就連住的地方都沒有,最終只能出賣自己的勞動力,為資本家效勞,甘心地被受剝削。

 

當我讀到馬克思談級英國政府的「絕世好橋」時,頓時便能理解創世紀中的「無蝸牛」是如何誔生的。而更重要的是,要使這條「絕世好橋」能在後殖民年代的香港反覆使用和恒之有效,香港政府便需要在不同的渠道保持在土地擁有和使用權上有絕對的操控權。幸得近年來香港的社會運動不斷在地方和空間使用上與政府和資本家對壘,方能使我們逐歩了解政府如何透過委任城規會的主席和成員的過程中,安插大量的地產商和能在重建的過程中獲利的界別(例如測量界),使政府在土地發展上取得百份百的主導權。

 

五. 政改作為階級計劃

 

利用馬克思「三位一體」的階級關係框架,使我們得知香港社會作為資本主義社會的某些資本累積渠道。回到與政治體制的長遠安排上,由於資本家在「利潤─工資-地租」上都需要一個向其靠攏的政府不會因為工人階級的壓力而「縮沙」,以及能在出現資本主義危機時能果斷地捨棄作為多數的工人階級,以保穩定的金融體制。故此,一個能使資本家主導的立法議會(功能組別的存在)和保持行政機構能靈活和有效率地運作(行政主導的必要)──少則在金管局和城規會等機關的委任上,大則在聯繫匯率和最低工資的立法上── 都是至為重要的!

 

一言以敝之,政改其實徹頭徹尾是一個階級計劃(class project)!


後記:

 

在這篇文在本人的xanga 刊出之時,很不幸地,公民黨以「大局為重」為由,決定重新考慮是否参與總辭。這令我不禁想問:所為的「大局」是什麼?是繼續令這些了無新意的政改方案繼續再次番叮下去,還是希望令泛民繼續能出入立法會議事廳?說到底,在民主黨(再加上現在的公民黨)的立場,繼續能坐在議事廳內,比任何也要重要──縱使是要犧牲和無了期的推後港人的普選投票權。

 

從同情的角度來看,我們可以諒解華叔和馬丁。他們從殖民地年代起一直為爭取進入立法局,到現時泛民有過半數的否決權,在在都是他們戎馬半生的心血結晶。假如真的總辭,最後補選失敗,某程度上便等於將他們半生心血毀於一旦。而那些不斷在輿論上反對總辭,而又以理性計算的社會科學家,也不難理解他們的做法。只要想想他們在之前兩次選舉上如何為盡心盡力為泛民作出協調,便可知他們是如何的相信「政黨政治是香港政制發展的出路」。一下止要他們相信所謂「議會外」和「激進」的邏輯,便可以想像他們的反彈是何等的正常。

 

但從長遠利益角度作出考量,其實明眼人都知,無論政府今次的政改方案是否能通過,結果都是一樣:民主黨和公民黨都能繼續在議會內佔上一定議席,而且還會是長玩長有。 你說民主黨和公民黨不是當中的既得利益者,也很難說得過去。再想深一層和陰謀論一些,現時民主黨不斷強調議會內否決權的重要,又不斷嚇人的話:「沒有否決權,廿三條會番來!」。但正如練乙錚所預測,泛民的否決權遲早都會衰失。到時候,政府真的想推出廿三條便只是遲早的事。又正如李祖喬的分析,民主黨和民建聯除了民主議題外,根本就沒有很大的分別(可能在民生議題上還比民建聯為差)。那麼在我們看清,原來什麼「民主大過天」的榥子背後,亦只不過是「議席先係堅」的道理後,作為真心支持民主和想盡快有真正的雙普選的選民來說,我還有什麼理由要投票予泛民。

 

但我依然強調,政改的底蘊依然是階級問題,政黨政治只是煙霧。在民主黨和公民黨的「長玩」下,香港的資產階級政府便可以名正言順地繼續進行資產階級統治,在不同的立法和政策領域都可以繼續壓制工人階級。當中,這種資產階級統治的認受性某部分又是來自民主黨和公民黨的選票。可悲的是,民主黨和公民黨所強調其中產和專業中產的階級立場(某個意義上是既不認為自己是資產階級政黨,也不認為自己是工人階級政黨),都明顯地點出對工人階級有利的政策在議會上都很大機會不能得到他們的支持(更何況是在有功能組別的的分組點票機制下!)。

 

故此,現時香港的政治制度和政府所提的政改方案,都是為了使其階級政策得以繼續。當中這階級政策又需要給予泛民政黨一些参與政治制度的空間,從中獲取階級統治的認同。而功能組別的存在只是為防範泛民這匹野馬一旦脱繩提出有利工人階級的政策時所設下的一度關卡。



Sunday, October 25, 2009

中國政府沒有操控人民幣?

先來一個有趣的經濟學問題:

1。 究竟人民幣(Renmenbi)和元(yuan)有什麼分別?

(Hints: 可参考一下Sterling 和 Pound 有什麼分別? )

2。 以下那一個才是正確?

a) RMB/ dollar
b) yuan/ dollar

答案在我講完第二件趣事揭曉!


中國政府沒有操控人民幣?

有看下新聞的人都知,美國政府因為與中國之間存在巨大貿易逆差,已經在過去幾年不斷喊打喊殺,話要人民幣要升值,叫中國政府不要操控人民幣價格。有少少國際貿易常識的人都知:如果中國政府肯比人民幣自由浮動(隨之而來必定是大幅升值),中國進口美國的產品便會大幅升值。屆時,中美貿易逆差便得以減少。

但中國政府過去一直透過(1)管制資金流進出國外,和(2)在國際貨幣巿場大量賣出人民幣和買入美金,使人民幣一直與美金保持相對穩定的匯率,令其出口貨品一直保持廉價,在國際巿場保持競爭力。這種情況,你說中國政府無操控人民幣價格,點都講唔通。

但奇怪的是,上星期,美國財政部竟然向國會報告「中國政府沒有操控人民幣價格」!此話完全一反常態。極為有趣!究竟為何美國財政部會作出這些的宣稱?

原來,美國政府是這樣盤算的:很多國家都會在經濟差時大賣本國貨幣,使其貶值,從而增加競爭力,降低生產成本,吸引外資,推動經濟復甦。然而,美國礙於外交關係(試想想大量美金落入索羅斯,拉登或伊朗政府手上),不能大賣美金。故此,美國政府只能寄望手握大量美金作儲備的中國政府出手相助,大賣美金,助美國經濟復甦。這樣,人家中國以白武士身份相助,美國政府又豈能再駡人家「操控」哩!

但究竟中國政府是否真的會出手相助?何時出手?這仍是未知之數(如果知的話,我便一定會狂入澳紙,從中賺番筆!)


答案:

1。 人民幣(RMB)是中國的貨幣(currency),而元(yuan)是人民幣的單位(unit of currency); 同理,Sterling 是英國的currency, 而pound 是Sterling 的單位;

2。 所以單位要對單位,正確答案是(b) yuan/dollar!



Friday, October 23, 2009

Socialist is ever a socialist!

在坎城留學的日子差不多四個月,想像到的文化衝擊沒有來之前想像的那麼大。然而,坎培拉始終是一個小城巿。習慣生活在國際都會的香港的我確實在過去幾個月內感到很多的不適應。

在香港,你可以半夜還可以跑到七仔買即食面,在坎培拉,假如那晩你的雪櫃真的是空的,那你就只得捱餓。

但最大的不同仍是人際關係,在香港,人人都可能會做到夜晚八九點才會收工,很多人兩至三點還開著MSN 跟Friend 聊天。假若你有剎那的孤獨,你可以一個Message便可找三五知己到BAR喝酒大吐苦水。然而,在坎培拉,人們的生活真的十分刻板,沒有什麼夜生活,而且我住的地方不是學校宿舍,是在校外的一間小屋。雖然路程不遠,但卻很少有在香港那種三五知已通頂的經驗。

另一個不同是思想交流,無可否認,雖然香港是國際都會,但人們的思想還是頗狹隘的。這方面是我在坎培拉参與一些社會主義團體的討論時發現的。在香港,雖然同是有社會主義傾向的NGO, 但旦凡討論都離不開香港本土的議題,極其量只是中國內地的議題。然而,在坎城的社會主義團體,每星期都有聚會,每星期都會有讀書會,而每次的討論內容都很少和澳洲本土有關,而且参與討論的人所提出的例子都是十分global 的。在香港,我很少會想過在加沙以色列和巴勒斯坦的問題,亦很少會運用我的馬克思主義框架來分析奧巴馬的伊朗政策,不是不會,而是該議題從沒有在我腦海中逗留超過可以分析的所需時間。

差不多在十年前,我開始認識馬克思,開始鑽研他的鉅著,斷斷續續都有参與過和發起過一些讀書組,亦運用過他的框架來分析香港勞工的狀況。接著,我可以說我確實有幾年人生的空白期,茫茫然,混混亂亂的過日子,而且那幾年間,連當初社關的熱情也差不多消失殆盡。

然而,當我來到坎培拉之後,很奇怪,我第一個目標就是要找當地的社會主義組織。其實這也不難理解,對一個知識分子來說,最大的痛苦是不能和別人作思想交流。而作為一個抱著馬克思主義的知識分子而言,生活在一個退休理想地方的坎培拉,是一種折磨。就如馬克思所講,資本主義的矛盾都在這些「和諧」的表象中存在,當一個知道社會背後運作原則的人來說,他真的巴不得向全世界人揭露這地方的虛偽。

突然間,腦海中有著一句話:

Wherever you are, a socialist is ever a socialist.


Monday, October 19, 2009

學富五車捱騾仔

學富五車捱騾仔 不學無術嘆世界


It was the guys who went off to investment banks who were buying the third homes,
while the top students were trying to eke out their incomes with an occasional consulting gig.

Paul Krugman

2008 年諾貝爾經濟科學獎得主Paul Krugman 早前在自己的blog 中慨嘆現時的畸型情況--

學富五車的人,永遠仍為三餐捱騾仔;不學無術的人,要擔心的已是自己的第三個物業!



Smart guys and Wall Street (By Paul Krugman)

I’m a little late on this great Calvin Trillin piece, but it accords with my own more specialized memories from grad school. The year I got my PhD (1977), there was a very clear ranking of desirable career paths. The best economics grad students went into academic jobs; the middle went to the Fed or the IMF; the bottom went, poor souls, to Wall Street.


Even then this meant an inverse relationship between academic ranking and income, since new assistant professors were paid only around $15,000, equivalent to a bit more than 50K today. But the prestige differences more than offset the pay differentials, at least as we saw it then. And one thing that’s hard to convey is how boring business seemed in the 1960s and 1970s. (”I’ve got just one word for you: plastics.”)


But even a decade later, it was the guys who went off to investment banks who were buying the third homes, while the top students were trying to eke out their incomes with an occasional consulting gig. And it wasn’t just the money: business stopped being so boring, and was even getting to be fun for some people. The old conviction that the academic life was the ideal definitely began to fray at the edges.


Did the influx of smart people bring on disaster? That’s a longer story. But the change in who went where is utterly real.






Friday, October 16, 2009

Wage, Time-wages, Piece-Wages and Labor Intensity

Wage, Time-wages, Piece-Wages and Labor Intensity

 

Kaxton Siu

 

              Since the emergence of economic science, wage determination, methods of payments and labor productivity have been the discipline’s subject matters. The significance of the subject matters is evident. Classical political economists (Smith, Ricardo and Marx) paid great attention to develop different versions of “labor theory of value” in the 18th and 19th centuries. Notably, Karl Marx developed his “theory of labor value” by inventing the notion of “labor-power”. Labor-power is the commodity sold by worker and defined as socially necessary labor time for production. Marx devoted three chapters (chapter 19 to 22) in his masterpiece, Capital, to analyze “wages”: (1) the transformation of value of labor-power into wages, (2) two contrasting methods of payments (time-wages vs. piece-wages) and (3) national differences of wages. In the three chapters, Marx defined:

 

Wage: the form in which payment for labor-power is made;

 

Hourly-wage: the price of a days' labor-power divided by the normal number of hours worked per day;

 

Time-wages: having defined hourly-wage, time-wages is the natural extension that wages are paid according to labor time expanded in normal hours worked per day. The lengthening of hours worked means the reduction of hourly-wage;

 

Piece-wage: time time-wages wasn't the only method of payments. Piece-wage, defined as “the normal wage per piece is the daily labor of labor power divided by the number of pieces produced per day under average conditions in one normal working day time”, is another method often used in capitalist mode of production (Brewer, p. 65). Marx argued that piece-wage system can help increase labor productivity and is “the form of wages most in harmony with the capitalist mode of production” (Capital, p.556). Piece-wage reduces the need of superintendence and, as a result, suits appropriately to domestic industries and subletting (subcontracting) of labors.

 

              Although Marx's theory of labor value has been rejected by mainstream economists ssince the “marginalist revolution” in early 20th century, the debate around wages has never ended. Retrospectively, Marx's definition of wage -- by using socially necessary labor time expanded in a working day and used hourly-wage as measurement yardstick -- is still relevant in today's capitalist mode of production. More important, the issue further gains weight in developing countries where large scale factory productions is still prevailing.

 

              As a matter of fact, the longstanding issue across three centuries can be understood from two areas of uncertainties come out from Marx's definitions:

 

Determination of Wages: In defining wage, the term “normal number of hours worked per day” is used. But to what number of hours worked should be classified as “normal”? For hourly-wage is the wage measurement yardstick, to what level should hourly-wage be “enough” for a worker to live? If wage is not defined through hourly-wage, what are the consequences?

 

Methods of Payment: Piece-wages is described as the most “harmonious” method of payments in capitalism for it helps increase labor intensity (hence, productivity) and eliminates the need of superintendence. But in what way does piece-wages system increase productivity and reduce superintendence costs in production?

 

              The aforementioned areas of uncertainties have been taken up and encountered one by one by government, economists and labor activists in the last two centuries. First, for wage determination, almost in all countries, the questioning of “normalcy” of number of hours worked in a working day and the “sufficiency” of hourly wage has been the major battlefields between labor and capitalist in the last century. It has engendered series of campaigns of “maximum working hours” and “minimum wage”. In most developed countries, various bargaining mechanisms and legal institutions (such as cross industry or national wide trade unions) have been developed to overcome the issue. Besides, in developed countries like United States and United Kingdom, hourly-wages has been accepted as standard measurement yardstick for minimum wage. However, there is a wide gap between developed and developing countries in these bargaining mechanisms and legal institutions. In particular, in China, where independent trade unions are prohibited to establish, these collective mechanisms and legal institutions are often underdeveloped.

 

              Second, for methods of payments, the issue of uses of time-wages, piece-wages or the mix of them has also been the focal point in the economic discipline in last century. Between the last decade of the 19th century and the beginning decade of the 20th century, piece-wage system has been analyzed by sociologists, industrial relations theorists and even government officials in developed countries. However, at that time, the piece-wages system has reputed so badly as “the sweating system”. Piece-wage system was identified as “problem of modern industries”.  

 

              Nevertheless, in the second half of the 20th century, the whole academic atmosphere has changed to favour piece-wage system. It was particularly evident since the rise of neo-classical economists. Neo-classical economists set aside the “sweating” issue and tried to direct the issue to a new language under “efficiency”, “incentive” and “productivity”. The whole new problematic under neo-classical formulation then became: how to increase productivity by using appropriate methods of payments to boost workers' incentives to produce? Under this problematic formulation, time-wages and piece-wages are subject to comparison on productivity basis. Series of studies by correlating productivity output with methods of payments are conducted empirically. Further studies by correlating abilities of workers and productivity outputs were also followed. After these empirical studies, two widespread consensuses, at least in economics and management studies, have reached: First, piece-wage system can boost workers' incentive and hence increase productivity output. Second, workers with high ability (higher productivity rate) would likely choose to work under piece-wage system while less able workers would likely choose time-wage system.

 

              The methods of payments have attracted concerns from economists, governments and labor activists in developing countries. They also find the issue complicated, troublesome and difficult to handle. While developing labor regulations, the uses of piece-wages and the mix of time-wages and piece-wages, in contrast to time-wages, pose great difficulty for government in developing countries to regulate industries by using hourly minimum wage. Labor activists also face difficulties when new discourse from management side arises – it is workers who opt voluntarily to the piece-wages system and who would like to work longer hours a day to earn more money. The new discourse puts workers' interests (that workers would like to work longer hours) and labor activists' demand (that working hours should be reduced in developing countries so as to match the standard in developed countries) in opposition.

 

So long as we consider development as a process of perfecting social, economic and legal frameworks as well as institutions in developing countries for allowing citizens to have decent quality of lives, the issues of wage determination and methods of payments are relevant to today’s situations in many developing countries.



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